Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 116.689709 132.809714 150.653851 171.923636 196.653876 224.580695 258.617860
2025-12-07 90.536406 110.701586 134.908783 166.301317 206.212996 255.629922 322.018622
2025-12-14 76.542002 98.396668 126.174090 164.440680 216.367324 285.207928 384.771331
2025-12-21 68.154160 91.235673 121.968642 166.470771 230.238339 319.817467 457.874453
2025-12-28 63.284157 87.776399 121.751128 173.181162 250.581371 365.208844 552.567855
2026-01-04 58.537251 83.730096 119.946829 176.956293 266.579333 405.764270 645.781334
2026-01-11 53.264663 78.231649 115.247616 175.533619 274.012616 433.536238 722.186954
2026-01-18 50.094968 75.469893 114.225749 179.469055 290.126455 477.007511 831.828750
2026-01-25 46.402287 71.487150 110.818971 179.009925 298.628684 508.404033 924.600704
2026-02-01 43.627935 68.663428 108.917850 180.719008 310.861881 547.680079 1038.434443
2026-02-08 40.279176 64.583696 104.531919 177.590104 313.907300 570.273911 1122.792397
2026-02-15 37.812250 61.744490 101.940986 177.293058 322.007278 603.310098 1234.114887
2026-02-22 35.578635 59.340181 100.267765 179.244563 336.172127 653.437896 1399.612569
2026-03-01 32.325538 54.903436 94.645138 173.283153 334.250261 671.129028 1497.722687
2026-03-08 30.016610 51.922325 91.333966 171.330971 340.125504 706.178824 1644.796176
2026-03-15 28.490723 50.211751 90.177393 173.457494 354.802060 762.981549 1859.486699
2026-03-22 27.700369 49.781320 91.376333 180.488194 381.138639 851.152133 2179.102695
2026-03-29 26.610098 48.675043 91.137952 184.444268 401.115963 927.803701 2488.052239
2026-04-05 25.032734 46.485042 88.530250 182.953343 408.141963 973.481072 2719.524235
2026-04-12 24.154657 45.596596 88.468390 187.077757 429.276404 1059.540171 3099.469056
2026-04-19 22.908445 43.861945 86.488048 186.596550 438.904852 1116.617877 3403.723049
2026-04-26 21.964162 42.666822 85.534138 188.387849 454.620839 1193.713597 3799.920619
2026-05-03 20.665531 40.632792 82.594926 185.108508 456.519770 1231.463887 4069.267317